Tennis Intelligence Platform

The edge is
in the data.

tennisIQ is a predictive analytics platform built on 110,000+ matches. Not picks. Not opinions. A model that finds edges the market misses — on every surface, every tour, every day.

68.7%
Backtested accuracy
+19.2%
ROI vs Pinnacle closing
110K+
Matches analysed
Matchup DNA
ESP
Aggressive Baseliner
Carlos
Alcaraz
78%
SERVE RET FORM BP% ELO SURF
vs
Clay · Roland Garros
GER
Counter-Puncher
Alexander
Zverev
22%
Alcaraz enters as the dominant clay-court force — his surface Elo of 2140 dwarfs Zverev's 1921, backed by an 87.7% win rate on clay. The model assigns a 78% win probability, ranking this among today's most reliable signals.
73.0%
SERVE WON
69.4%
65.7%
1ST SERVE %
62.3%
50.1%
BP CONV
47.8%
Pro · Unlock Full Breakdown
View Plans ↗

Built on match science,
not intuition.

tennisIQ uses a logistic regression model trained on 110,000+ ATP and WTA matches, incorporating surface-adjusted Elo ratings, serve and return profiles, fatigue signals, and head-to-head history.

01
Surface-Adjusted Elo
Standard Elo treats all matches equally. Our model builds separate hard, clay, grass, and indoor hard ratings — because a clay specialist with a 1900 clay Elo tells a very different story than a 1900 overall Elo.
4 surfaces
Separate Elo ratings per surface
02
Serve & Return Profiling
Every prediction is informed by 8 serve and return metrics per player, calculated across their full match history. 1st serve won %, 2nd serve won %, break point conversion, double fault rate — all surface-stratified.
8 metrics
Per-player, per-surface serve profile
03
Market Intelligence
Where bookmaker odds exist, we calculate closing line value — the gap between our model's fair probability and what the market implies. Positive CLV is the most reliable indicator of long-term edge.
+19.2%
Average ROI vs Pinnacle closing line

Intelligence, not tips.

Most tennis services offer picks from pundits. tennisIQ offers a transparent, data-driven model with verifiable track records and the methodology to back it up.

tennisIQ
Probabilistic win % — not just who to bet on
Surface-adjusted Elo for every player in the database
Serve & return profiles updated from match history
Fatigue and momentum signals built into every prediction
Closing line value vs Pinnacle — verifiable edge
Matchup DNA — visual, shareable, explainable
Covers ATP, WTA, Challengers, and ITF
Typical tipster service
Subjective picks with no methodology disclosed
Overall Elo only — no surface differentiation
No serve/return data integration
No fatigue or schedule modeling
No CLV calculation or market comparison
No visual explainability
Usually ATP-only, top tournaments only

Numbers that hold up.

Built on 110,000+ matches of backtesting. Live predictions updated daily at 7am. Track record published in full — we don't cherry-pick.

Backtested Accuracy
68.7%
Across all surfaces and tours
ROI vs Pinnacle
+19.2%
Closing line value benchmark
Matches Analysed
110K+
ATP + WTA combined
Player Profiles
1,463
995 ATP · 468 WTA

Start free. Go sharp.

Every tier includes the Matchup DNA card — the visual core of tennisIQ. Upgrade to unlock the full analytical depth behind every prediction.

Free
$0
Always free
Matchup DNA card — % + radar
1 prediction preview per day
Model insights (DYK stats)
Full prediction list
Fatigue & momentum data
Model intelligence panel
Get started →
Sharp
$19.99
per month
Everything in Pro
Upset alerts — flagged daily
CLV calculator on every match
Daily email digest of top picks
Priority model updates
Full player stats database